| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 77.97 | 69.4% | 54.12 | 70.2% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.45 | 68.1% | 31.62 | 68.6% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 107.41 | 31.3% | 33.59 | 67.6% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 44.81 | 69.4% | 31.10 | 69.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.