Weather-contingent products, designed and settled on a verifiable index - delivered as SI.
The public simulator shows the models working. An engagement puts them behind your product: your index, your trigger, your book - settled on the Weather Market oracle.
A weather product fails at the edges: a station that goes quiet, a feed nobody can check, a settlement the losing side will not accept. Most products are priced on a number their counterparty cannot verify.
We pick the index (consensus value, WDI/TDI or a station day), the trigger (threshold, hour, window), the pricing model (forecast-seeded, LMSR for markets) and the risk gates - the same models the simulator runs in public.
Every product settles on a Weather Market determination: met, not met or withheld. Final once issued; withheld is nobody’s loss. The run id and Flare anchor are attached to the settlement record.
Your counterparty checks the settlement without trusting us: the run’s SHA-256 against the SnapshotAnchor on Flare, the per-source readings, the verdict counts.
Product lines
Heat, cold, rain, wind and humidity covers on a threshold and an hour; index-linked covers on WDI/TDI; station-day, week and month covers at airports with a reliable METAR feed. Premium = probability × cover, loaded and fee’d.
Degree-day futures by week and month (heating, cooling and growing degree days), as listed on the public futures board, plus index-settled forwards and options on consensus temperature and the Weather Data Index - all settled on the anchored record.
Binary and multi-outcome markets on conditions at whole hours, LMSR market making, reliability-gated listing and withheld-as-void settlement.
Cases
Engagements are private. Details on request.
Heating-demand hedge on consensus temperature for a district-heating operator.
Contact us →Rain-at-hour cover for outdoor events in three cities.
Contact us →Heat-stress cover on a station-day maximum for a growers’ cooperative.
Contact us →Talk to us about a product
Tell us the risk, the region and the counterparty. We reply with an index, a trigger and a settlement design. Data licence questions go to KWeather; the simulator stakes nothing of value and is not an offer to insure.