| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.76 | 55.2% | 60.00 | 43.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.07 | 53.6% | 8.08 | 46.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.32 | 53.0% | 19.77 | 46.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 68.39 | 51.7% | 35.33 | 47.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 28.89 | 48.8% | 14.11 | 49.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.58 | 47.2% | 46.57 | 48.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 11.66 | 45.9% | 5.35 | 46.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.66 | 54.1% | 9.01 | 45.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 57.83 | 45.4% | 26.27 | 46.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.52 | 54.8% | 23.83 | 44.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.03 | 53.6% | 28.40 | 45.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.49 | 52.5% | 14.97 | 47.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →