| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.67 | 44.2% | 22.38 | 55.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 75.14 | 55.5% | 41.72 | 56.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.79 | 53.2% | 60.00 | 54.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 38.20 | 51.3% | 19.60 | 51.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 73.14 | 49.9% | 36.51 | 50.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 46.62 | 50.4% | 23.50 | 49.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →