| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 121.41 | 49.4% | 60.00 | 50.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 37.52 | 47.4% | 17.80 | 47.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 116.32 | 51.6% | 60.00 | 47.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.50 | 49.8% | 11.71 | 49.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.16 | 48.8% | 28.87 | 50.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 129.16 | 46.5% | 60.00 | 51.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.41 | 44.6% | 9.99 | 55.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.96 | 54.6% | 46.97 | 55.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →