| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 33.76 | 49.3% | 16.63 | 49.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.53 | 50.3% | 32.99 | 48.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.39 | 49.4% | 41.22 | 50.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 13.98 | 51.4% | 7.19 | 48.4% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 120.60 | 49.8% | 60.00 | 48.7% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.94 | 48.0% | 7.66 | 51.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →