| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.74 | 41.2% | 18.43 | 58.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.55 | 40.1% | 19.45 | 59.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 79.00 | 59.6% | 47.06 | 60.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 39.10 | 58.1% | 22.73 | 58.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.99 | 42.1% | 9.67 | 57.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.32 | 41.3% | 17.87 | 58.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 154.31 | 38.9% | 60.00 | 59.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 170.95 | 35.1% | 60.00 | 62.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 193.07 | 31.1% | 60.00 | 66.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 223.85 | 26.8% | 60.00 | 71.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →