| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.43 | 86.9% | 57.70 | 12.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.72 | 86.1% | 60.00 | 13.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.43 | 85.2% | 60.00 | 14.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.00 | 84.6% | 21.99 | 15.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.49 | 83.9% | 60.00 | 15.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.59 | 83.0% | 49.48 | 16.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 67.74 | 82.1% | 55.62 | 17.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.91 | 81.3% | 34.07 | 18.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.96 | 80.5% | 48.27 | 19.0% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.70 | 79.7% | 34.03 | 20.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →