| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 59.88 | 56.3% | 33.71 | 57.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.90 | 43.9% | 19.71 | 55.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 51.67 | 56.0% | 28.95 | 56.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 64.20 | 54.6% | 35.05 | 55.4% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 19.98 | 53.5% | 10.70 | 53.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →