| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 24.87 | 43.9% | 10.92 | 44.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 143.36 | 41.9% | 60.00 | 43.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 68.37 | 59.1% | 40.38 | 40.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.02 | 57.3% | 44.69 | 41.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.64 | 55.3% | 47.87 | 43.7% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.10 | 53.1% | 47.81 | 45.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →