| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 78.86 | 76.1% | 60.00 | 76.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 80.43 | 74.6% | 60.00 | 75.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 40.70 | 73.4% | 29.89 | 73.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.09 | 72.2% | 60.00 | 73.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.11 | 70.5% | 60.00 | 71.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 87.37 | 68.7% | 60.00 | 69.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.91 | 66.7% | 60.00 | 67.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.77 | 64.7% | 60.00 | 65.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.02 | 62.5% | 60.00 | 63.6% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.72 | 60.2% | 60.00 | 61.4% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.98 | 57.7% | 60.00 | 59.0% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.91 | 55.1% | 60.00 | 56.4% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 114.70 | 52.3% | 60.00 | 53.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →