| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.22 | 81.8% | 20.63 | 18.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.50 | 81.3% | 34.55 | 18.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.65 | 80.4% | 60.00 | 19.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.79 | 79.2% | 60.00 | 20.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.82 | 78.2% | 34.25 | 21.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.82 | 77.1% | 60.00 | 22.2% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.27 | 75.7% | 60.00 | 23.6% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.88 | 74.2% | 60.00 | 25.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →