| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.33 | 53.1% | 29.38 | 53.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 35.06 | 52.0% | 18.22 | 52.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.15 | 48.0% | 16.88 | 51.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 80.37 | 51.4% | 41.32 | 52.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 17.77 | 50.2% | 8.92 | 50.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 44.65 | 49.4% | 22.06 | 50.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →