| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.02 | 46.8% | 16.87 | 52.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.05 | 53.2% | 15.47 | 53.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 88.85 | 51.8% | 46.00 | 52.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 26.80 | 50.3% | 13.49 | 50.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 27.15 | 49.7% | 13.48 | 50.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 53.80 | 48.6% | 26.17 | 49.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.48 | 51.7% | 15.23 | 48.0% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 41.79 | 48.2% | 20.14 | 48.7% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 32.39 | 47.3% | 15.31 | 47.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →