| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 87.47 | 61.6% | 53.92 | 62.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.02 | 59.4% | 60.00 | 60.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 70.74 | 57.3% | 40.54 | 58.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 76.69 | 55.5% | 42.56 | 56.4% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.90 | 53.1% | 60.00 | 54.5% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 34.36 | 51.3% | 17.63 | 51.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →