| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.48 | 41.1% | 22.79 | 58.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 17.28 | 59.4% | 10.26 | 59.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 33.37 | 58.8% | 19.61 | 59.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.72 | 57.2% | 53.63 | 58.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.66 | 54.7% | 60.00 | 56.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →