| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 17.47 | 48.5% | 8.47 | 48.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 33.91 | 47.8% | 16.22 | 48.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 14.40 | 52.4% | 7.55 | 47.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.74 | 51.6% | 26.69 | 47.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 18.12 | 50.7% | 9.19 | 49.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 125.13 | 47.9% | 60.00 | 49.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 20.00 | 53.4% | 10.67 | 46.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →