| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 87.78 | 68.4% | 60.00 | 69.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.37 | 66.4% | 60.00 | 67.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.29 | 64.3% | 60.00 | 65.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.60 | 62.1% | 60.00 | 63.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.39 | 59.8% | 60.00 | 61.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.75 | 57.3% | 60.00 | 58.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.82 | 54.6% | 60.00 | 56.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →