| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.32 | 62.4% | 43.24 | 36.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.38 | 60.4% | 60.00 | 38.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.58 | 57.9% | 60.00 | 40.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.46 | 55.3% | 60.00 | 43.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 114.16 | 52.6% | 60.00 | 46.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.67 | 50.3% | 33.04 | 48.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →