| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.19 | 74.8% | 60.00 | 24.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.90 | 73.3% | 60.00 | 25.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.79 | 71.6% | 60.00 | 27.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.90 | 69.9% | 60.00 | 29.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.25 | 68.0% | 60.00 | 31.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.06 | 66.4% | 34.59 | 33.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.58 | 64.8% | 60.00 | 34.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.80 | 62.6% | 60.00 | 36.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.47 | 60.3% | 60.00 | 38.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.68 | 57.9% | 60.00 | 40.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.58 | 55.3% | 60.00 | 43.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 114.30 | 52.5% | 60.00 | 46.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →