| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.46 | 58.6% | 60.00 | 59.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 25.28 | 57.0% | 14.41 | 57.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 15.27 | 56.5% | 8.63 | 56.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 64.56 | 42.9% | 27.69 | 56.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 13.55 | 57.7% | 7.82 | 57.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 58.50 | 56.9% | 33.26 | 57.6% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 18.72 | 43.6% | 8.17 | 56.1% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 70.44 | 55.7% | 39.25 | 56.6% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 60.93 | 54.1% | 32.96 | 54.9% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 28.38 | 53.0% | 15.04 | 53.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →