| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 25.45 | 52.5% | 13.37 | 52.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.10 | 47.4% | 16.15 | 52.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 48.65 | 52.5% | 25.52 | 53.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.30 | 51.3% | 23.74 | 51.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 122.02 | 49.2% | 60.00 | 50.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →