| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 72.92 | 65.1% | 47.47 | 65.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 17.34 | 64.1% | 11.11 | 64.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.61 | 62.8% | 60.00 | 63.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.25 | 60.5% | 60.00 | 61.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 28.26 | 58.9% | 16.65 | 59.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 36.90 | 58.1% | 21.45 | 58.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.39 | 42.0% | 12.33 | 57.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 45.00 | 57.9% | 26.03 | 58.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 33.56 | 56.9% | 19.09 | 57.3% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 45.44 | 55.9% | 25.41 | 56.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →