| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.55 | 76.4% | 60.00 | 22.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.08 | 74.9% | 60.00 | 24.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.77 | 73.4% | 60.00 | 25.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.65 | 71.7% | 60.00 | 27.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.74 | 70.0% | 60.00 | 29.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 64.57 | 68.4% | 44.15 | 30.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.98 | 66.7% | 60.00 | 32.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.85 | 64.6% | 60.00 | 34.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.11 | 62.4% | 60.00 | 36.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.82 | 60.1% | 60.00 | 38.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 104.10 | 57.6% | 60.00 | 41.1% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 109.05 | 55.0% | 60.00 | 43.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →