| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 49.19 | 33.2% | 16.34 | 33.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.83 | 67.1% | 15.98 | 32.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.67 | 32.1% | 33.24 | 33.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.10 | 68.1% | 60.00 | 30.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.36 | 66.2% | 55.20 | 32.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.44 | 64.2% | 60.00 | 34.7% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.78 | 62.0% | 60.00 | 36.9% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.59 | 59.6% | 60.00 | 39.1% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 104.98 | 57.2% | 60.00 | 41.6% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.55 | 54.9% | 40.96 | 44.1% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 114.07 | 52.6% | 60.00 | 46.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →