| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.70 | 66.9% | 60.00 | 67.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.53 | 64.8% | 60.00 | 65.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.90 | 62.8% | 52.70 | 63.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.93 | 60.7% | 60.00 | 61.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.06 | 58.2% | 60.00 | 59.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.85 | 55.6% | 60.00 | 57.0% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 113.45 | 52.9% | 60.00 | 54.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →