| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.09 | 84.3% | 30.43 | 15.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.15 | 83.7% | 39.49 | 15.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 56.05 | 83.0% | 46.54 | 16.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.69 | 82.4% | 29.40 | 17.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.77 | 81.8% | 35.80 | 17.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.77 | 80.9% | 57.27 | 18.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.39 | 80.0% | 41.89 | 19.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 334.81 | 17.9% | 60.00 | 20.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →