| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 63.82 | 60.5% | 38.62 | 61.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.35 | 58.5% | 59.31 | 59.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.38 | 42.4% | 9.50 | 57.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.70 | 56.6% | 57.55 | 57.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.20 | 54.0% | 60.00 | 55.3% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.17 | 46.4% | 38.13 | 52.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →