| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 64.67 | 27.5% | 17.81 | 28.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.66 | 72.7% | 32.45 | 26.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.91 | 71.9% | 19.36 | 27.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.63 | 71.3% | 25.41 | 28.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.41 | 70.7% | 17.96 | 29.1% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.32 | 69.5% | 60.00 | 29.6% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.25 | 68.3% | 19.97 | 31.4% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.59 | 67.0% | 60.00 | 32.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →