| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.08 | 56.6% | 53.77 | 57.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 33.29 | 55.0% | 18.30 | 55.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.23 | 53.7% | 35.06 | 54.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 67.67 | 52.1% | 35.25 | 52.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 50.46 | 50.6% | 25.54 | 51.2% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.50 | 48.7% | 50.87 | 50.0% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 114.96 | 45.9% | 52.82 | 47.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →