| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.12 | 67.3% | 60.00 | 68.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 64.96 | 65.6% | 42.62 | 66.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.05 | 63.8% | 60.00 | 64.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.47 | 61.6% | 60.00 | 62.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.39 | 59.2% | 60.00 | 60.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.91 | 56.7% | 60.00 | 58.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.17 | 54.0% | 60.00 | 55.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 117.36 | 51.1% | 60.00 | 52.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 124.74 | 48.1% | 60.00 | 49.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →