| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 122.56 | 49.0% | 60.00 | 50.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 120.49 | 45.9% | 55.34 | 47.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.62 | 55.0% | 26.18 | 44.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 107.85 | 53.0% | 57.21 | 45.6% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.28 | 51.5% | 7.87 | 48.3% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.19 | 51.0% | 14.37 | 48.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →