| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 33.60 | 74.0% | 24.86 | 74.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 82.35 | 72.9% | 60.00 | 73.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 40.25 | 71.6% | 28.83 | 72.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 20.83 | 71.0% | 14.79 | 71.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 50.16 | 70.3% | 35.25 | 70.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 87.19 | 68.8% | 60.00 | 69.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.70 | 66.9% | 60.00 | 67.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.54 | 64.8% | 60.00 | 65.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.75 | 62.7% | 60.00 | 63.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.41 | 60.4% | 60.00 | 61.5% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.62 | 57.9% | 60.00 | 59.2% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 71.85 | 55.8% | 40.06 | 56.6% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.21 | 53.5% | 60.00 | 54.9% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 118.60 | 50.6% | 60.00 | 52.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →