| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.54 | 56.3% | 52.64 | 57.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 118.04 | 43.4% | 51.26 | 55.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 82.40 | 57.0% | 46.98 | 58.0% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 58.16 | 55.3% | 32.15 | 56.0% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.87 | 53.2% | 60.00 | 54.6% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 119.38 | 50.3% | 60.00 | 51.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →