| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.10 | 70.5% | 60.00 | 28.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.81 | 68.7% | 58.27 | 30.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.82 | 66.8% | 60.00 | 32.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 61.71 | 65.1% | 40.17 | 34.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.79 | 63.3% | 60.00 | 35.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.31 | 61.0% | 60.00 | 37.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.36 | 58.6% | 60.00 | 40.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 107.03 | 56.1% | 60.00 | 42.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.48 | 53.3% | 60.00 | 45.3% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 118.92 | 50.5% | 60.00 | 48.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →