| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 11.79 | 58.2% | 6.86 | 58.3% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 41.68 | 57.5% | 23.97 | 58.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 81.90 | 56.0% | 45.86 | 57.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.95 | 53.6% | 60.00 | 55.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 118.29 | 50.7% | 60.00 | 52.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →