| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 115.00 | 51.9% | 59.64 | 46.7% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 43.32 | 49.0% | 21.24 | 49.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 47.45 | 47.9% | 22.73 | 48.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 23.22 | 47.0% | 10.92 | 47.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →