| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.93 | 55.8% | 51.89 | 43.0% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.91 | 54.0% | 29.12 | 45.3% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.14 | 52.5% | 36.29 | 46.7% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 18.62 | 51.4% | 9.57 | 48.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.98 | 50.4% | 32.22 | 48.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.53 | 49.4% | 8.16 | 50.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.49 | 47.9% | 48.13 | 50.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →