| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.16 | 59.9% | 60.00 | 61.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 36.15 | 58.3% | 21.06 | 58.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 34.15 | 57.4% | 19.60 | 57.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.77 | 55.7% | 56.17 | 57.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 54.95 | 53.8% | 29.57 | 54.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 116.09 | 51.7% | 60.00 | 53.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.87 | 48.9% | 50.83 | 50.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →