| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.35 | 76.6% | 60.00 | 22.7% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.86 | 75.1% | 60.00 | 24.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.53 | 73.6% | 60.00 | 25.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.38 | 72.0% | 60.00 | 27.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.44 | 70.2% | 60.00 | 28.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.74 | 68.4% | 60.00 | 30.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.33 | 66.4% | 60.00 | 32.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.07 | 64.6% | 45.91 | 34.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.74 | 62.7% | 60.00 | 36.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.40 | 60.4% | 60.00 | 38.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.61 | 57.9% | 60.00 | 40.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.48 | 55.3% | 60.00 | 43.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 114.19 | 52.5% | 60.00 | 46.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →