| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.02 | 62.8% | 57.16 | 36.1% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.08 | 60.6% | 60.00 | 38.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.24 | 58.1% | 60.00 | 40.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.06 | 55.5% | 60.00 | 43.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 113.70 | 52.8% | 60.00 | 45.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.61 | 50.5% | 35.64 | 48.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 124.93 | 48.0% | 60.00 | 50.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →