| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.13 | 60.6% | 26.74 | 38.9% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 30.76 | 39.6% | 12.17 | 39.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.67 | 59.6% | 60.00 | 39.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.77 | 58.0% | 19.00 | 41.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 56.31 | 56.9% | 32.04 | 42.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.08 | 55.7% | 22.33 | 43.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 62.23 | 54.4% | 33.88 | 44.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.55 | 53.0% | 27.86 | 46.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →