| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 45.61 | 46.0% | 20.98 | 46.6% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.59 | 53.9% | 26.75 | 45.4% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 133.28 | 45.0% | 60.00 | 46.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.40 | 55.4% | 55.61 | 43.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.91 | 53.1% | 44.56 | 45.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.68 | 51.4% | 27.08 | 47.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →