| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 109.99 | 39.3% | 43.27 | 59.3% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 57.52 | 61.3% | 35.25 | 62.0% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.03 | 59.4% | 60.00 | 60.6% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 35.67 | 57.7% | 20.59 | 58.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.19 | 56.0% | 60.00 | 57.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.67 | 53.3% | 60.00 | 54.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 119.14 | 50.4% | 60.00 | 51.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.14 | 47.6% | 49.08 | 48.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →