| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 62.03 | 43.9% | 27.25 | 55.3% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 46.72 | 42.6% | 19.90 | 56.8% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.95 | 40.7% | 44.35 | 58.0% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.64 | 38.1% | 40.30 | 60.6% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.84 | 62.0% | 60.00 | 63.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.66 | 59.6% | 60.00 | 60.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 30.87 | 58.0% | 17.91 | 58.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.17 | 56.5% | 52.08 | 57.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.96 | 54.8% | 23.56 | 55.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 44.37 | 53.8% | 23.85 | 54.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 115.92 | 51.8% | 60.00 | 53.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →