| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.21 | 57.8% | 16.31 | 41.8% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 32.23 | 42.1% | 13.58 | 42.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.32 | 57.0% | 60.00 | 41.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.44 | 54.5% | 52.54 | 44.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →