| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.25 | 62.1% | 57.95 | 36.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.26 | 59.8% | 60.00 | 39.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 58.66 | 57.9% | 33.98 | 41.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 107.36 | 55.9% | 60.00 | 42.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.87 | 53.2% | 60.00 | 45.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 119.38 | 50.3% | 60.00 | 48.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →