| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.18 | 58.7% | 60.00 | 40.0% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.82 | 56.5% | 46.21 | 42.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 110.92 | 54.1% | 60.00 | 44.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 64.67 | 51.9% | 33.57 | 47.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.75 | 49.8% | 52.64 | 48.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →