| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.54 | 85.5% | 33.79 | 14.3% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.55 | 85.1% | 19.18 | 14.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.04 | 84.5% | 60.00 | 15.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.07 | 83.6% | 46.05 | 16.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.33 | 83.0% | 33.46 | 16.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →