| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.26 | 65.1% | 19.71 | 34.5% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.36 | 64.3% | 26.60 | 35.2% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.87 | 63.1% | 41.55 | 36.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.91 | 61.2% | 56.27 | 37.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.82 | 59.2% | 47.81 | 39.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.47 | 56.9% | 60.00 | 41.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.74 | 54.4% | 50.49 | 44.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 115.73 | 51.8% | 60.00 | 46.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →